Peter Ryan takes a look at Ireland and Argentina ahead of their Friday night clash at the Aviva Stadium, with Andy Farrell’s side out to right the wrongs of last week…
Ireland
Recent Form – Ireland suffered a narrow defeat to New Zealand last week, ending their home unbeaten streak since the 2021 Six Nations.
In their last five matches, Ireland have secured three wins and two losses, with an average of 22.4 points scored per game.
Key Players – Cian Healy is set to equal Brian O’Driscoll’s record of 133 caps, bringing experience and leadership to the squad. Jack Crowley, despite a recent setback, remains a pivotal figure in Ireland’s attacking strategy.
Argentina
Recent Form – Argentina achieved a significant 50-18 victory over Italy last week, showcasing their offensive capabilities.
Over their last five games, Argentina have recorded two wins and three losses, averaging 28.4 points per game.
Key Players – Pablo Matera returns from suspension, adding strength to the back row. Matías Moroni replaces Matías Orlando at centre, bringing fresh dynamics to the midfield.
Injuries/Team News – Coach Felipe Contepomi has made strategic changes, including the inclusion of uncapped centre Justo Piccardo on the bench, indicating a blend of experience and new talent.
Betting Recommendations
Best Bet – Ireland to win by more than 10 points at odds of 10/11.
Given Ireland’s strong home record and Argentina’s inconsistent form, a double-digit victory margin for Ireland is a plausible outcome.
Value Bet – Ireland to win by more than 16 points at odds of 2/1.
Considering Ireland’s previous dominant performance against Argentina (53-7 in 2021), a win by more than 16 points offers substantial value.
Longshot Bet – Ireland to have a winning margin between 1 and 7 points.
If Argentina capitalises on their recent momentum and Ireland’s slight dip in form, a narrow victory for Ireland is a conceivable scenario.
Additional Considerations:
Weather Conditions – The Forecast for Dublin on November 15 indicates low clouds with a high of 12°C and a low of 9°C, which may influence game dynamics.
Historical Context – Ireland has won the last three encounters against Argentina, with an average winning margin of 36-14.
